katerinak
0x753120d7308f73cd762584a6c0804fdd1e206e3b
- Realised P&L
- $0.81
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $99.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $99.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.025 | $0.11 | −$3.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.892Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$0.72at 0.848Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$0.53at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$0.50at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 13-19?
- +$0.47at 0.810Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9974964614 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 12:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.998823107 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 09:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.995 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 11:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-06 11:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 04-27 11:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.08 |
| 04-21 08:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.998 | $106.88 |
| 04-13 14:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.997 | $106.57 |
| 04-06 17:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.9980152957 | $106.39 |
| 04-01 21:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.9949999958 | $105.85 |
| 03-28 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $559.44 |
| 03-28 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $560.00 |
| 03-28 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 03-28 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 03-28 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |