bigfishlittlefish
0x7527d4021a19e1fe07aa36449930dc2537e3d880
- Realised P&L
- $1.01
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $301.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.994 | $54.64 | +$0.30 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.977 | $53.71 | −$0.19 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.974 | 0.970 | $53.32 | −$0.25 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.965 | 0.961 | $51.87 | −$0.24 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.952 | $50.43 | −$0.40 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.942 | $37.34 | −$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.969Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.47at 0.950Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.984Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$0.06at 0.974Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
- +$0.05at 0.982Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 12:48 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.9839078304 | $21.35 |