Darkpsico-
0x74c3f65f6ffc0bfcca6628502a5c4d04578cbbe6
- Realised P&L
- $762.94
- Volume
- $421.0k
- Markets traded
- 881
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded881
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$345.65at 0.120Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$162.60at 0.839Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?
- +$148.27at 0.968Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
- +$139.11at 0.039Israel military action against Iran by April 15?
- +$136.57at 0.186Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 17:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 01:39 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 18:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.23 |
| 08-01 00:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.2399999576 | $3.40 |
| 07-31 23:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 07-30 19:38 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.1399999384 | $1.91 |
| 07-29 18:35 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 18:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 07-29 03:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.1199999187 | $1.24 |
| 07-24 21:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.86 |
| 07-24 21:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.73 |
| 07-24 21:18 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25? | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 20:43 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |