Polweatherfi
0x74911651dc36887143b044913bab5ad1dfeb8a87
- Realised P&L
- $-211.15
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 474
- Open portfolio
- $56.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded474
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.06at 0.141Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
- +$89.90at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23?
- +$56.00at 0.210Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?
- +$34.89at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?
- +$32.77at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.45 |
| 08-03 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.33 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 08-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.93 |
| 08-03 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.88 |
| 08-03 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.056506058 | $2.01 |
| 08-02 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-02 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0668810916 | $1.72 |
| 08-02 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.45 |
| 08-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.44 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |