PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Polweatherfi

0x74911651dc36887143b044913bab5ad1dfeb8a87

Realised P&L
$-211.15
Volume
$21.2k
Markets traded
474
Open portfolio
$56.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded474
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.11$2.42
08-04 00:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.07$2.45
08-03 17:16Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3?BUY0.1$0.10
08-03 16:46Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 3?BUY0.12$0.33
08-03 06:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 3?BUY0.11$2.42
08-03 04:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.12$2.40
08-03 03:56Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.11$1.93
08-03 03:09Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.12$2.40
08-03 01:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.11$0.88
08-03 00:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.056506058$2.01
08-02 14:24Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2?BUY0.12$0.60
08-02 05:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?BUY0.0668810916$1.72
08-02 00:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2?BUY0.07$2.45
08-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.06$1.44
08-01 16:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.12$2.40
Trader Polweatherfi · PolyBot