PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

taby

0x7415ca0168823e63b18b259c097b2a1c66844202

Realised P&L
$-58.13
Volume
$25.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$37.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.043$37.61$85.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-13 16:20Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999983$71.00
02-07 04:20Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$51.73
05-19 19:32Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?SELL0.07$5.00
05-15 12:11Twins vs. OriolesBUY0.44$17.60
05-15 12:10Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?BUY0.16$11.43
05-15 12:00Thunder vs. NuggetsBUY0.38$12.54
05-15 11:59Hurricanes vs. CapitalsBUY0.61$21.35
05-15 11:57Stars vs. JetsBUY0.54$13.50
02-22 23:16Gold missing from Fort Knox?SELL0.2$3.81
02-22 23:15Arsenal wins the Premier League?SELL0.114$6.71
02-22 23:14Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?SELL0.156$6.95
02-22 23:10Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.144$7.48
02-22 23:09Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.005$8.00
02-21 17:37Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?BUY0.1459999839$6.50
02-21 17:33Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.1442939063$7.50