taby
0x7415ca0168823e63b18b259c097b2a1c66844202
- Realised P&L
- $-58.13
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $37.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.043 | $37.61 | −$85.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.40at 0.440Twins vs. Orioles
- +$20.46at 0.380Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$13.65at 0.610Hurricanes vs. Capitals
- +$11.50at 0.540Stars vs. Jets
- +$0.45at 0.146Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-13 16:20 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999983 | $71.00 |
| 02-07 04:20 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $51.73 |
| 05-19 19:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 12:11 | Twins vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.44 | $17.60 |
| 05-15 12:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.43 |
| 05-15 12:00 | Thunder vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.38 | $12.54 |
| 05-15 11:59 | Hurricanes vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 05-15 11:57 | Stars vs. Jets | BUY | 0.54 | $13.50 |
| 02-22 23:16 | Gold missing from Fort Knox? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.81 |
| 02-22 23:15 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.114 | $6.71 |
| 02-22 23:14 | Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | SELL | 0.156 | $6.95 |
| 02-22 23:10 | Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.144 | $7.48 |
| 02-22 23:09 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $8.00 |
| 02-21 17:37 | Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | BUY | 0.1459999839 | $6.50 |
| 02-21 17:33 | Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.1442939063 | $7.50 |