a3368166
0x738fe6264bf72bbb3f8fbe225814977142d8ba83
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $102.7k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $56.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.710Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?
- +$438.63at 0.490Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winner
- +$351.02at 0.260Cardinals vs. 49ers
- +$350.50at 0.500Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$160.00at 0.200Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 5? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 06-25 01:36 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 06-18 14:01 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.248 | $6.82 |
| 06-10 11:50 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | SELL | 0.744 | $2.98 |
| 05-13 07:51 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.311 | $31.10 |
| 05-07 07:59 | Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.6522179414 | $125.27 |
| 05-07 07:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May? | SELL | 0.42 | $63.00 |
| 05-07 06:48 | Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | SELL | 0.886 | $44.30 |
| 04-26 13:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 04-11 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11? | SELL | 0.5966 | $29.83 |
| 04-11 12:41 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.385 | $74.40 |
| 04-03 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 04-03 14:41 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.61 |
| 04-01 13:54 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 04-01 08:08 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $86.00 |