0x730a32b28c787ff7f7735893931c40bdfad1b959
- Realised P&L
- $3.76
- Volume
- $331.74
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.147 | $1.11 | −$0.39 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.480 | 0.255 | $0.80 | −$0.70 |
| Will Carson Williams win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.45 | −$1.05 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.32at 0.170Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.08at 0.949Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 02:17 | Will Carson Williams win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 02:17 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 02:17 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 01:31 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9489999728 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 01:31 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999291 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 01:31 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999139 | $1.50 |