Bombarda
0x72e1010877721439e4fd2ebddb1f553ab7077d89
- Realised P&L
- $112.9k
- Volume
- $3.43M
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $37.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.864 | 0.963 | $34.3k | +$3.5k |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No | 0.895 | 0.957 | $2.2k | +$137.43 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.262 | $1.3k | −$590.10 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.034 | $138.91 | −$758.15 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $44.22 | −$23.63 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $2.13 | −$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.6kat 0.842Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$18.7kat 0.931Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$14.1kat 0.654Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$11.2kat 0.248Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$11.1kat 0.613Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 19:24 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.933 | $13.50 |
| 05-02 16:37 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $137.24 |
| 04-30 20:45 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $140.90 |
| 04-29 05:13 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.923 | $276.90 |
| 04-28 15:57 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.23 | $157.24 |
| 04-28 15:10 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.2k |
| 04-28 15:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $16.10 |
| 04-28 15:00 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.927 | $5.0k |
| 04-28 14:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.379 | $684.13 |
| 04-28 14:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $50.40 |
| 04-28 14:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 04-28 14:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.378 | $66.30 |
| 04-28 14:24 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.32 |
| 04-28 14:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.378 | $65.12 |
| 04-28 14:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.6k |