CondeDeBelloch
0x72bbbbaaf12a529e0afed34ae77dac30f89eef39
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $12.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.915 | $12.77 | +$0.77 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 21? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.25 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| France to score first vs. England? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.430Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$800.31at 0.387Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$719.03at 0.493Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$574.03at 0.439Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$199.43at 0.537Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 04:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999928 | $12.00 |
| 07-21 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $4.32 |
| 07-21 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 00:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 00:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $2.59 |
| 07-21 00:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 00:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.27 |