PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Quantum25

0x724b66a3abdda0ae60e1c70318f4a0e9c850bd26

Realised P&L
$50.74
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$47.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.115$47.03$67.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 06:01Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?SELL0.992$115.99
04-29 20:15Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?SELL0.9302$232.55
04-29 09:27Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?SELL0.66$6.60
04-21 07:47Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?SELL0.7357755747$239.72
04-20 10:51Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.855171328$100.00
04-20 07:34Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?SELL0.1553396561$20.15
04-19 12:39Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.79$13.43
04-16 20:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?SELL0.95$139.33
04-12 19:42Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?SELL0.08$11.20
04-08 21:27Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?SELL0.5$42.48
04-08 11:16Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?BUY0.7649989559$65.00
04-06 06:14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.7499999949$110.00
04-02 17:27Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.5324590235$150.00
04-02 12:26Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.4308724481$24.69
03-31 10:37Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.7454347826$137.16