Quantum25
0x724b66a3abdda0ae60e1c70318f4a0e9c850bd26
- Realised P&L
- $50.74
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $47.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.115 | $47.03 | −$67.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.66at 0.616Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$90.95at 0.570Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
- +$45.45at 0.753Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
- +$29.33at 0.750Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
- +$20.56at 0.635Nothing Ever Happens: March
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:01 | Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.992 | $115.99 |
| 04-29 20:15 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | SELL | 0.9302 | $232.55 |
| 04-29 09:27 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 04-21 07:47 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.7357755747 | $239.72 |
| 04-20 10:51 | Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.855171328 | $100.00 |
| 04-20 07:34 | Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.1553396561 | $20.15 |
| 04-19 12:39 | Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.79 | $13.43 |
| 04-16 20:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $139.33 |
| 04-12 19:42 | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SELL | 0.08 | $11.20 |
| 04-08 21:27 | Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | SELL | 0.5 | $42.48 |
| 04-08 11:16 | Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | BUY | 0.7649989559 | $65.00 |
| 04-06 06:14 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.7499999949 | $110.00 |
| 04-02 17:27 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.5324590235 | $150.00 |
| 04-02 12:26 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.4308724481 | $24.69 |
| 03-31 10:37 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.7454347826 | $137.16 |