dorosh
0x724482ff4ce40355b64383347504b6a297e7a43b
- Realised P&L
- $-74.31
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $115.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.996 | 0.991 | $115.42 | −$0.58 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.18at 0.630Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$3.88at 0.968Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?
- +$2.14at 0.983Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?
- +$1.05at 0.840Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$0.94at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 20-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.996 | $116.00 |
| 08-01 20:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9949999963 | $116.00 |
| 07-21 10:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.998 | $115.00 |
| 07-14 08:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.995 | $115.00 |
| 06-13 06:48 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.98 | $115.30 |
| 06-05 06:31 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999918 | $74.12 |
| 06-05 06:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? | SELL | 0.741 | $75.65 |
| 06-01 17:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.9795102447 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 12:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8355414537 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 11:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-05 08:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.994 | $100.00 |
| 04-27 11:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.9827779156 | $122.00 |
| 04-20 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.9923283302 | $121.30 |
| 04-13 14:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.997 | $121.04 |
| 04-06 19:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.9679999999 | $116.95 |