0x7213981AD79dE83936A15efD0619634c781e90d1-1773660413483
0x7213981ad79de83936a15efd0619634c781e90d1
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $410.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.335 | $410.68 | −$64.52 |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? · Yes | 0.554 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.43at 0.802Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$230.77at 0.520Spread: Clippers (-9.5)
- +$169.31at 0.568Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
- +$96.08at 0.510Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
- +$88.24at 0.850Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:26 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.4067065333 | $407.93 |
| 07-31 20:40 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.3849087325 | $929.42 |
| 07-31 20:24 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.4000153663 | $800.00 |
| 07-31 20:24 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3808435685 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 20:22 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3799999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 20:21 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3787929755 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 20:21 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3758669665 | $400.00 |
| 07-06 07:08 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.6442265663 | $1.9k |
| 07-03 10:11 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.739269496 | $2.1k |
| 07-03 10:10 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7292707289 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 08:35 | Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | SELL | 0.9848136119 | $399.66 |
| 04-19 16:14 | Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | BUY | 0.6983918414 | $79.00 |
| 04-18 18:32 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.9k |
| 04-18 18:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.7k |
| 04-18 16:02 | Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | BUY | 0.5080164754 | $10.00 |