0x7208f7154D337dAC1923Ce62bb430f03D119BA4c-1782405098379
0x7208f7154d337dac1923ce62bb430f03d119ba4c
- Realised P&L
- $-67.78
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $7.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.60at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?
- +$12.39at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?
- +$11.20at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?
- +$7.00at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-03 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.692475 | $13.85 |
| 07-30 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-30 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 07-30 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 07-30 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.53 | $9.22 |
| 07-28 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 07-28 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.41 | $7.13 |
| 07-27 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 07-26 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 07-25 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |