0x71e994c33c080d89bcc95578db8b5e9f0821f4e0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.83
- Volume
- $53.42
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $4.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.165 | $4.32 | −$6.68 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.19at 0.756Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:30 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999809 | $11.00 |
| 08-01 00:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 07-31 03:46 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-30 19:40 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-24 02:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7559999853 | $9.88 |