ggmichelon
0x71b485ab0588ae1f8b3d8806e4e3ce5f3faa897d
- Realised P&L
- $-137.29
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $41.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.100 | $41.46 | +$1.46 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.764 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.70 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.56at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.00at 0.200Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.74at 0.585Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$13.67at 0.410France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$12.58at 0.600Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 09:37 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1097256811 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 21:22 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 07-14 23:16 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 21:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.55 | $10.58 |
| 07-14 21:28 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.0760420354 | $5.50 |
| 07-14 21:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.194 | $14.45 |
| 07-14 21:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.572 | $44.56 |
| 07-12 04:15 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999745 | $4.50 |
| 07-12 04:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 04:13 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 04:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.069133386 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 04:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2019999698 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 02:44 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8324999816 | $4.40 |
| 07-12 02:44 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.51 |
| 07-12 02:36 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8524999822 | $5.50 |