MrUK0x7
0x718f4be4346b8b292d5926b9e66a33df3589f25a
- Realised P&L
- $-448.56
- Volume
- $79.2k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $66.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thailand win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.455 | 1.000 | $65.95 | +$35.95 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.180 | 0.007 | $0.42 | −$9.58 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.265 | 0.011 | $0.21 | −$4.79 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.322 | 0.002 | $0.20 | −$32.79 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.290 | 0.008 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will Philippines win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.98 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$543.09at 0.228Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$517.24at 0.450S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?
- +$443.00at 0.114Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 24?
- +$317.96at 0.287Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?
- +$269.21at 0.518Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:41 | Will Thailand win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:40 | Will Thailand win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:39 | Will Philippines win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:33 | Will Philippines win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will Thailand win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:14 | Will Philippines win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 13:48 | Will Thailand win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.5088435274 | $22.00 |
| 08-04 12:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 11:59 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.2666666667 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 11:57 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:38 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:41 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.1899999667 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |