pada
0x714a685b5454ea4d52979563bbafa77b8168ab2f
- Realised P&L
- $60.2k
- Volume
- $10.78M
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $204.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.6kat 0.384SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$19.5kat 0.020Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$19.3kat 0.517SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$13.4kat 0.060Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$12.2kat 0.047Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 05:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.11 |
| 07-31 05:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $8.30 |
| 07-30 19:11 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.908 | $90.80 |
| 07-30 19:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.900222255 | $2.0k |
| 07-30 19:01 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9001158724 | $3.1k |
| 07-30 00:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9067623768 | $1.3k |
| 07-30 00:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9049413114 | $6.6k |
| 07-30 00:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9100273236 | $4.2k |
| 07-30 00:03 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9187294671 | $1.2k |
| 07-29 19:53 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9155453597 | $1.8k |
| 07-29 19:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9153884333 | $2.7k |
| 07-29 18:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $966.49 |
| 07-29 18:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.0k |
| 07-29 18:22 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.913 | $94.77 |
| 07-29 18:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $550.45 |