4r8c03by
0x70a66187625fddf97e5fdc451139c344d3aa5560
- Realised P&L
- $-16.30
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $6.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No | 0.911 | 0.899 | $6.31 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.500Solana Up or Down - January 14, 11PM ET
- +$0.71at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET
- +$0.67at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10PM ET
- +$0.50at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 7AM ET
- +$0.49at 0.500Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:03 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.911 | $6.40 |
| 07-26 18:00 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.951 | $7.06 |
| 07-26 10:55 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.952 | $7.06 |
| 07-14 11:51 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.59 |
| 07-14 06:45 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.58 |
| 07-03 15:23 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.96 | $5.40 |
| 07-03 07:17 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.953 | $5.37 |
| 06-15 14:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $25.43 |
| 06-15 09:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.97 |
| 06-04 21:10 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.952 | $26.65 |
| 06-04 17:06 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.953 | $26.67 |
| 05-23 04:59 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.973 | $29.90 |
| 05-23 00:58 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.974 | $29.93 |
| 05-15 12:53 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.965 | $34.30 |
| 05-15 06:45 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.964 | $34.26 |