lopeztviolet752
0x6fe381867a974e7bd6fbcc1c6f4d5c45c3111c0c
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $77.5k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $368.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers · San Francisco Giants | 0.360 | 0.355 | $284.35 | −$4.01 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.842 | $84.20 | +$19.45 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.12 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$594.00 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) · Ismael Bonfim | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.08 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.85 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.00at 0.490Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
- +$400.00at 0.920Suns vs. Thunder
- +$308.00at 0.560Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals
- +$240.00at 0.600Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$229.99at 0.540Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 00:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.928 | $90.13 |
| 07-03 01:21 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.12 |
| 06-25 16:14 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.941 | $190.08 |
| 06-20 03:45 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.3k |
| 06-15 08:04 | Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.56 | $392.00 |
| 05-17 02:16 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.648 | $10.76 |
| 05-17 02:14 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.647 | $54.00 |
| 05-12 11:43 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.219 | $3.50 |
| 05-12 11:40 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.218 | $39.27 |
| 05-12 11:39 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.216 | $1.08 |
| 05-07 01:03 | Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.999 | $398.60 |
| 05-07 00:57 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.522 | $52.72 |
| 04-29 01:11 | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.999 | $100.90 |
| 04-23 09:16 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.9k |
| 04-21 07:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? | SELL | 0.997 | $814.55 |