ahahaIDK
0x6fc735a97382e0c5a17743e5fcf2970ba8be268d
- Realised P&L
- $97.01
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $78.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,000 | 0.520 | 0.455 | $78.75 | −$11.25 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) · Aurora Gaming | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.51 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Suns vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars (Game Eliminator) · Melbourne Stars | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Commanders vs. Giants · Giants | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Litecoin ETF approved in 2025? · No | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Heat vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel · Yanki Erel | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.39at 0.501Will Australia win?
- +$106.64at 0.599United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$97.45at 0.753Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$95.67at 0.611Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$89.00at 0.450Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:49 | ITF Poprad: David Bakonyi vs Jan Klimas | BUY | 0.4590818334 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 11:29 | ITF Aldershot: Rina Saigo vs Adithya Karunaratne | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 18:40 | The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalieva | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 06:33 | Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 17:32 | Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 15:13 | Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 15:12 | Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan | BUY | 0.5599999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 03:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 17:18 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.6499999948 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 06:17 | Vancouver: Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsume | BUY | 0.5713311913 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 10:20 | Liberec: Guido Justo vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 20:42 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 19:39 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 15:56 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 22:00 | New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |