0x6fa14a94d59644223ce3fa7d8c3eb4284ea73e52
- Realised P&L
- $-16.70
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $6.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.011 | $3.34 | −$14.68 |
| Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.004 | $1.73 | −$12.80 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.004 | $1.26 | −$5.44 |
| Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.024 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.002 | $0.12 | −$1.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.55at 0.054Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 00:11 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0369999923 | $4.53 |
| 06-13 00:10 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.60 |
| 06-13 00:10 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0239999966 | $6.70 |
| 06-06 13:12 | Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0381978417 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 21:51 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0342207692 | $24.91 |
| 05-26 00:15 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0581481446 | $8.02 |
| 05-25 22:08 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0519999883 | $4.00 |
| 05-24 18:03 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0579999894 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 18:02 | Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 22:09 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0509999928 | $6.35 |
| 05-21 01:10 | Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0287983839 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 01:01 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1504118432 | $23.67 |
| 05-20 15:59 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0339999944 | $6.00 |
| 05-13 19:02 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0649999712 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 19:01 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.75 |