0x6f9c3De9EcC8c9C4e96DA06E581e5c9b480AA82b-1776839602026
0x6f9c3de9ecc8c9c4e96da06e581e5c9b480aa82b
- Realised P&L
- $41.50
- Volume
- $535.32
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $27.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.696 | 0.747 | $13.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.495 | 0.730 | $7.37 | +$2.37 |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.935 | $5.84 | +$0.84 |
| Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.87at 0.565Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.19at 0.647Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
- +$6.95at 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.01at 0.545US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.965Will Onn Hafiz Ghazi be the next Chief Minister of Johor?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:34 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 12:32 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $10.95 |
| 07-27 05:41 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.21 |
| 07-23 08:27 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 05:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.745999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 07:04 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7419998145 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 06:10 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $110.00 |
| 07-19 15:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7349998077 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 15:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 15:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $7.09 |
| 07-14 15:08 | Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4951455916 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 12:21 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 07:31 | Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.9589999992 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 07:27 | Will Onn Hafiz Ghazi be the next Chief Minister of Johor? | BUY | 0.9645272706 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 07:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.18 |