Aetherial-1122
0x6f2982ebbca0f8f11da4005710dafba0399f0ae2
- Realised P&L
- $107.25
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,490
- Open portfolio
- $273.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,490
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.868Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$1.89at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?
- +$1.85at 0.884Solana Up or Down - July 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.912Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?
- +$1.74at 0.917Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:21 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.52 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.9 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 08-03 20:37 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |