0x6e732B547b9958dcbf55A2630Acc406F844C1ff3-1771172573870
0x6e732b547b9958dcbf55a2630acc406f844c1ff3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.31
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $15.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $15.95 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 18?
- +$0.08at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?
- +$0.05at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 21?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 03:30 | Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.67 |
| 06-23 07:08 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.64 |
| 05-19 07:28 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 05-13 04:00 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 04-25 03:20 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 07:29 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.66 |
| 04-22 08:22 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-21 07:31 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 05:36 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 03-23 09:29 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.983 | $615.36 |
| 03-21 03:23 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.984 | $12.79 |