Anthonydg
0x6d89cdec0105e777c9bcaa1c7c1ec59c5bc7fcfb
- Realised P&L
- $105.52
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $4.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.185 | $4.63 | −$0.63 |
| Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.20 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · Natus Vincere | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.59 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.58at 0.500Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$423.30at 0.500Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$395.91at 0.500Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$149.94at 0.490France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
- +$145.33at 0.500Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:54 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.25 |
| 07-17 06:38 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $43.87 |
| 07-17 06:38 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $924.07 |
| 07-17 06:37 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.95 |
| 07-17 06:37 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $925.00 |
| 07-17 06:37 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $923.15 |
| 07-17 06:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 06:36 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $968.00 |
| 07-17 06:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $970.08 |
| 07-17 06:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 06:07 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $19.20 |
| 07-13 02:53 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $144.06 |
| 07-13 02:50 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.80 |
| 07-13 02:50 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $793.41 |
| 07-13 02:49 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.77 |