0x6D7C57c9D52bA067365afEe7189f4881fB9Cac5D-1767984953849
0x6d7c57c9d52ba067365afee7189f4881fb9cac5d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $49.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $875.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.39at 0.510US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$340.68at 0.686Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$169.73at 0.370Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$134.96at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$54.02at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 20:25 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.0011489902 | $14.54 |
| 03-11 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $6.82 |
| 03-11 15:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1549999988 | $100.00 |
| 03-11 15:46 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.055 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 15:44 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0170091747 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 15:44 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.3399999996 | $500.00 |
| 03-04 21:38 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0808862913 | $250.00 |
| 03-04 21:37 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-04? | BUY | 0.1779998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 20:59 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.395214549 | $250.00 |
| 03-02 20:59 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0176492286 | $50.00 |
| 03-02 20:57 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0243481086 | $100.00 |
| 03-02 20:57 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0463846378 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 21:29 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.06 |
| 03-01 20:14 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $9.17 |
| 03-01 20:12 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $269.73 |