mordeangy
0x6d4da34fd700c48530cf7ab89e3ce736b9a8fdbd
- Realised P&L
- $7.29
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? · No | 0.920 | 0.890 | $4.45 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? · No | 0.850 | 0.835 | $4.17 | −$0.07 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No | 0.230 | 0.120 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.24at 0.890US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$1.32at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$1.24at 0.860Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5
- +$1.08at 0.944Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
- +$0.87at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-04 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-03 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.89234 | $4.46 |
| 08-01 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 14:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 19:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on July 22? | BUY | 0.9399999802 | $1.90 |
| 07-22 19:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.9879997313 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.9689999926 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 11:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.9859999984 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.9869998253 | $5.00 |