PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6d2a03d5d8eecaa05b54c295ccc27674f77c43e4

Realised P&L
$412.64
Volume
$19.1k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$45.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.045$10.71$39.29
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.500$3.68$1.32
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0740.080$3.22+$0.22
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0810.084$3.09+$0.09
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0580.089$3.09+$1.09
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.048$3.03$8.97
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.009$2.99$2.01
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3400.195$2.87$2.13
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0050.022$2.00+$1.54
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.081$1.61$0.39
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.140$1.52$3.48
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0090.032$1.51+$1.05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.036$0.84$2.16
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3600.135$0.75$1.25
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.0580.060$0.74+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 15:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?BUY0.179999958$3.00
06-02 15:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?BUY0.143$1.43
06-01 22:50Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?BUY0.1089999565$2.00
06-01 22:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
06-01 22:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
05-28 09:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?BUY0.14999994$2.00
05-28 09:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?BUY0.0599999724$2.00
05-28 09:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?BUY0.3399999694$4.00
05-28 09:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?BUY0.2119999224$2.00
05-27 00:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?BUY0.19$0.95
05-18 05:51Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-11 08:54Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.004$2.00
05-11 01:19Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.1$2.00
05-11 01:18Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
05-11 01:18Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.0579999737$2.00
Trader 0x6d2a…43e4 · PolyBot