0x6d2a03d5d8eecaa05b54c295ccc27674f77c43e4
- Realised P&L
- $412.64
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $45.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.11at 0.009USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$109.99at 0.034USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$92.80at 0.030MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$31.19at 0.138Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$30.00at 0.400Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 06-02 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.143 | $1.43 |
| 06-01 22:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2? | BUY | 0.1089999565 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 22:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 06-01 22:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 09:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 09:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.2119999224 | $2.00 |
| 05-27 00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 05-18 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 08:54 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 01:19 | Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 01:18 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 01:18 | Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0579999737 | $2.00 |