burja8
0x6c76e505525e77eece77d7d754eebd55703cf344
- Realised P&L
- $-707.24
- Volume
- $174.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.4kat 0.294Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
- +$603.41at 0.145Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
- +$452.30at 0.630Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$387.00at 0.870Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 20:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 03-22 19:58 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2757067495 | $1000.00 |
| 03-22 19:52 | Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%? | BUY | 0.5043645006 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 21:25 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.49 | $150.97 |
| 01-09 13:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.8291227824 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 18:20 | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 09-09 18:13 | Will anyone say "Inflation" during Apple launch event on September 9? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-06 20:14 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August? | BUY | 0.375 | $22.50 |
| 08-06 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 07-27 07:48 | Will XRP reach $3.7 in July? | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $1000.00 |
| 05-06 19:31 | Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 01-23 20:46 | Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 16:42 | Will Biden pardon Jim Biden? | SELL | 0.0011214971 | $2.72 |
| 01-20 16:26 | Will Biden pardon Jim Biden? | BUY | 0.961 | $1000.00 |
| 01-20 16:24 | Will Biden pardon Jim Biden? | BUY | 0.959 | $367.79 |