0x6C724A17474E5aFB32A35851b1e6f140cafA1243-1777574067046
0x6c724a17474e5afb32a35851b1e6f140cafa1243
- Realised P&L
- $267.68
- Volume
- $46.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $166.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.830 | $166.00 | +$16.00 |
| Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.50 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$423.13at 0.340Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$107.19at 0.060Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$59.49at 0.604Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
- +$30.00at 0.155Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$26.99at 0.570Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 19:22 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.046 | $27.60 |
| 06-23 16:14 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.83 | $124.50 |
| 06-18 16:27 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 06-14 13:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $183.00 |
| 06-14 10:23 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 06-13 18:56 | Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $105.96 |
| 06-12 19:48 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.60 |
| 06-12 18:28 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | SELL | 0.04 | $16.00 |
| 06-12 11:09 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | SELL | 0.8806976204 | $189.49 |
| 06-11 15:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 06-11 15:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 06-11 15:09 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.86 | $124.61 |
| 06-11 14:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $53.30 |
| 06-11 14:47 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 06-10 19:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $191.40 |