mike2113
0x6c70bb66d46eb2b09db8d56b17078015dbc6c327
- Realised P&L
- $-31.93
- Volume
- $506.25
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? · No | 0.853 | 0.031 | $2.83 | −$74.96 |
| Will Solana reach $70 on June 19? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 15? · Yes | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.57at 0.816S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 29?
- +$6.25at 0.800S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 23?
- +$4.35at 0.920S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 31?
- +$3.50at 0.930Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 on July 30?
- +$3.42at 0.956S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? | BUY | 0.8529999992 | $77.79 |
| 08-03 15:18 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9559999998 | $74.37 |
| 07-31 16:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9199999993 | $50.02 |
| 07-30 15:24 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9299999856 | $46.52 |
| 07-29 15:52 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 29? | BUY | 0.8157011759 | $37.95 |
| 07-28 15:34 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 28? | BUY | 0.9222095332 | $35.00 |
| 07-27 15:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on July 27? | BUY | 0.9492857143 | $33.23 |
| 07-24 16:02 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9399999988 | $31.25 |
| 07-23 15:18 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 07-22 15:24 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 22? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.66 |
| 07-21 16:23 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on July 21? | BUY | 0.8899999925 | $2.37 |
| 07-20 15:04 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 20? | BUY | 0.9079999628 | $2.15 |
| 07-17 16:19 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.9619999972 | $2.07 |
| 07-16 16:45 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9399999807 | $1.95 |
| 07-14 15:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.56 |