xmaninnorth
0x6c27c33e426cebc85065ca17904a15a741cc4db9
- Realised P&L
- $104.40
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,193
- Open portfolio
- $130.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,193
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?
- +$21.76at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?
- +$20.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?
- +$18.18at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 1?
- +$18.18at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |