0x6c16866C6f5D56D02ebEaE3dB0fcCa81Ad76BaC6-1726067127315
0x6c16866c6f5d56d02ebeae3db0fcca81ad76bac6
- Realised P&L
- $-501.31
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $1.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.029 | $0.59 | −$9.21 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.100 | $0.50 | −$1.95 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 9? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 9? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 11? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.50at 0.500Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5
- +$37.56at 0.540Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)
- +$21.10at 0.600Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?
- +$18.40at 0.770Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5
- +$16.10at 0.770Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:38 | Will Aaron Donald sign his next NFL contract by August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.80 |
| 07-12 02:54 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.4285833333 | $12.86 |
| 07-11 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 07-09 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.42 |
| 07-09 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.00 |
| 07-09 02:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.2795130933 | $13.66 |
| 07-09 02:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 10:57 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.02 | $14.96 |
| 06-09 10:28 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) | SELL | 0.43 | $17.19 |
| 06-09 03:22 | Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 | SELL | 0.97 | $22.87 |
| 06-04 02:48 | Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 05-23 01:36 | Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.6773333333 | $20.32 |
| 05-21 02:51 | Spurs vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.1 | $4.17 |
| 05-21 01:26 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 02:44 | US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | SELL | 0.0815625488 | $26.10 |