0x6bed953C24304d3fae0b51ca2a46068dcE7843CF-1762902180081
0x6bed953c24304d3fae0b51ca2a46068dce7843cf
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $159.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $166.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.217US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.325US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$294.44at 0.401Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$265.00at 0.450Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
- +$196.00at 0.440Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 15:35 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.45 | $225.00 |
| 06-30 15:34 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.401 | $300.79 |
| 06-29 23:14 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 06-26 14:06 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $11.76 |
| 06-26 00:49 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 06-26 00:49 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.16 | $64.00 |
| 06-25 17:15 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0583792407 | $260.94 |
| 06-25 17:15 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0484361982 | $225.15 |
| 06-24 13:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $4.50 |
| 06-24 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $2.75 |
| 06-24 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.0210002 | $1.05 |
| 06-24 13:29 | Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.44 | $154.00 |
| 06-24 13:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2 | $34.53 |