PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6bed953C24304d3fae0b51ca2a46068dcE7843CF-1762902180081

0x6bed953c24304d3fae0b51ca2a46068dce7843cf

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$159.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$166.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1100.051$79.95$94.20
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1200.065$71.51$60.51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? · Yes0.1800.140$14.70$4.20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.1590.000$0.00$56.62
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.5800.000$0.00$580.00
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? · No0.0160.000$0.00$580.74
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$32.65
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$41.83
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$2.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00$46.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$24.68
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$38.47
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$84.26
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$17.40
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$8.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 15:35Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?BUY0.45$225.00
06-30 15:34Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.401$300.79
06-29 23:14Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.58$580.00
06-26 14:06US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?BUY0.024$11.76
06-26 00:49Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.18$36.00
06-26 00:49Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.16$64.00
06-25 17:15Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0583792407$260.94
06-25 17:15Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0484361982$225.15
06-24 13:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
06-24 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.05$10.00
06-24 13:49Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.18$4.50
06-24 13:49Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.11$2.75
06-24 13:49Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.0210002$1.05
06-24 13:29Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY0.44$154.00
06-24 13:06Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.2$34.53