PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cyw2

0x6b88ebd2a40e6b4f4c79d5f2cd9244c799fa1fd0

Realised P&L
$138.02
Volume
$40.7k
Markets traded
715
Open portfolio
$109.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded715
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? · Yes0.2400.980$9.79+$7.39
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.7790.967$9.30+$1.81
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4200.475$7.88+$0.91
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.3790.395$7.37+$0.30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4110.390$6.76$0.37
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.4700.675$6.74+$2.05
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7270.823$6.46+$0.75
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.2840.325$5.96+$0.76
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3970.295$5.89$2.05
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5420.655$5.40+$0.93
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.6201.000$5.00+$1.90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8100.885$4.42+$0.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1400.425$4.25+$2.85
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.6200.835$4.17+$1.07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.2550.430$3.39+$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 22:12Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.7099994391$1.00
07-04 21:30Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5BUY0.7799999675$1.92
07-04 20:58Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.82$1.74
07-04 16:09Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?SELL0.041$0.20
07-04 16:07Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?SELL0.063$0.63
07-04 16:01Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?BUY0.0849999414$1.27
07-04 01:17Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.459999787$1.08
07-04 00:55Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-03 21:55Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$2.45
07-03 18:29Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.5299999849$1.75
07-03 14:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.25$1.00
07-03 12:50Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.2599998352$1.01
07-03 12:21Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.5499999697$2.72
07-03 11:23Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.44$4.40
07-02 18:52Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4699999659$4.69