Gambit-Sage
0x6b64a086f904609ca2fac4422be593a84bb8163e
- Realised P&L
- $-73.22
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $48.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.36at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?
- +$13.35at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?
- +$13.29at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?
- +$8.12at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 2?
- +$7.50at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1634614945 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2557376465 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2557376465 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3401624589 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.329999948 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 23:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |