LHW1
0x6b5a6d163ddf6a42f15fb3a1f39e11f8ab49b691
- Realised P&L
- $-30.0k
- Volume
- $5.19M
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $34.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.643Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
- +$897.00at 0.700Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$890.92at 0.760Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
- +$622.56at 0.714Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?
- +$608.00at 0.695LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 18:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 18:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:20 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 18:02 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 17:48 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 16:48 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 02:07 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 02:04 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.08 |
| 07-20 02:01 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 23:48 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.22 |
| 07-18 18:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.0248091264 | $242.53 |
| 07-11 14:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.32 |
| 07-09 02:11 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 02:08 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |