0x6b3c01d4223de1b6d9c3f4a34c2896beba38cd31
- Realised P&L
- $16.15
- Volume
- $98.33
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $10.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Memphis Classic (Doubles): Alexandrova/Gibson vs Chan/Joint · Alexandrova/Gibson | 0.520 | 0.520 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.75at 0.640Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa
- +$5.84at 0.765Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.59at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.02at 0.743Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 02:05 | The Memphis Classic (Doubles): Alexandrova/Gibson vs Chan/Joint | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 12:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.765 | $19.00 |
| 07-22 10:42 | Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa | BUY | 0.64 | $12.00 |
| 07-22 10:41 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.741 | $9.97 |
| 07-22 10:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7427392956 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 13:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999711 | $5.00 |