gbewbnfdm
0x6b0aee84c62cc23c1dac2a8da432bca3cbefb4c6
- Realised P&L
- $-157.13
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $259.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9? · No | 0.970 | 0.983 | $259.31 | +$3.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? · No | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$215.16 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? · No | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.50 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.60at 0.850Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$10.41at 0.950Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?
- +$9.83at 0.952Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?
- +$7.47at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?
- +$7.26at 0.965Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 10:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? | SELL | 0.981 | $212.87 |
| 04-05 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $240.45 |
| 03-30 11:07 | Will Solana dip to $60 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $235.53 |
| 03-19 08:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $221.78 |
| 03-16 11:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $217.78 |
| 03-14 11:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.999 | $217.78 |
| 03-12 14:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.995 | $216.91 |