JOBBIDEN
0x6a7dcca7b5d8b21f46e36762cdaba617b15c95c8
- Realised P&L
- $-53.12
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $172.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.931 | 0.949 | $51.25 | +$0.97 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.974 | 0.982 | $50.30 | +$0.38 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.950 | $45.60 | +$0.48 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $25.51 | +$0.13 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.95 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.948Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.18at 0.920Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.961Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
- +$1.40at 0.962Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.954Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 08:17 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $21.13 |