JamieTucker9481
0x6a7d198525479919fc8f2916c6b8b0a7c7bcd9fc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $33.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $173.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.980 | $172.39 | +$17.51 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.650 | $0.65 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.80at 0.140Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
- +$24.91at 0.250Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$19.79at 0.420Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$18.90at 0.370Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
- +$18.36at 0.400Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:08 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 04-24 04:01 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $164.56 |
| 04-11 17:39 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.56 | $61.04 |
| 04-11 17:38 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.57 | $33.06 |
| 04-11 08:04 | Revolut IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 04-11 07:10 | Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.64 | $27.52 |
| 04-10 19:35 | Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BUY | 0.58 | $24.94 |
| 04-09 10:01 | Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $64.68 |
| 04-07 18:54 | Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $62.37 |
| 03-31 02:14 | Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $62.64 |
| 03-29 19:26 | Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $67.86 |
| 03-25 17:04 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | SELL | 0.38 | $67.64 |
| 03-23 02:14 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | BUY | 0.68 | $121.04 |
| 03-21 20:35 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $120.06 |
| 03-21 01:57 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.87 | $145.29 |