parsifal
0x6a5e991a877c9c3647b4b47c5b2c637e0e01c8c1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $226.7k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.626Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$1.1kat 0.479US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$914.94at 0.690US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$550.30at 0.936No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$474.83at 0.628Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.074 | $666.00 |
| 07-14 16:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1031575 | $206.31 |
| 07-14 16:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1001933419 | $78.25 |
| 07-14 16:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.096 | $21.02 |
| 07-14 16:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.09880224 | $494.01 |
| 07-14 16:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0977775643 | $684.44 |
| 07-14 16:02 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.5k |
| 07-14 16:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1020899833 | $306.27 |
| 07-14 16:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.10133135 | $303.99 |
| 07-14 15:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.101478916 | $2.0k |
| 07-14 12:30 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 07-14 11:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $316.55 |
| 07-13 17:21 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.67 | $270.00 |
| 07-13 16:51 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.6894190204 | $154.26 |
| 07-13 16:44 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.5820585544 | $636.19 |