PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

parsifal

0x6a5e991a877c9c3647b4b47c5b2c637e0e01c8c1

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$226.7k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.5840.665$3.0k+$359.62
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6600.670$1.4k+$19.54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6800.705$328.18+$11.64
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3190.175$299.52$247.14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$6.2k
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$374.90
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$36.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0120.000$0.00$1.20
Timberwolves vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6900.000$0.00$966.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92000 and $94000 on May 2? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$101.17
Cardinals vs. Reds · Reds0.5400.000$0.00$1.2k
Warriors vs. Rockets · Warriors0.3900.000$0.00$1.7k
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 21:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.074$666.00
07-14 16:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1031575$206.31
07-14 16:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1001933419$78.25
07-14 16:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.096$21.02
07-14 16:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.09880224$494.01
07-14 16:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0977775643$684.44
07-14 16:02Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.83$2.5k
07-14 16:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1020899833$306.27
07-14 16:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.10133135$303.99
07-14 15:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.101478916$2.0k
07-14 12:30Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.72$7.20
07-14 11:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.68$316.55
07-13 17:21Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.67$270.00
07-13 16:51Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.6894190204$154.26
07-13 16:44Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.5820585544$636.19