tiktok1
0x6a498c2e5f4063e20277f1d16704974dd04059e0
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $167.9k
- Markets traded
- 11,914
- Open portfolio
- $41.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,914
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.07at 0.015Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?
- +$27.85at 0.076Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?
- +$23.74at 0.141Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 3?
- +$19.98at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 16?
- +$19.76at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-04 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7399998816 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.17 |
| 08-04 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-04 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7399998816 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7399998816 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.27 |