367b
0x6a1550900c70d4f454a5db5fcf80e0c01fdab576
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $187.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $385.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $385.00 | −$605.00 |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner · T1 | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.54 |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs · T1 | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$318.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.81at 0.974Will someone else be inaugurated?
- +$1.85at 0.963Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$1.00at 0.007Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.32at 0.379Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$0.18at 0.980Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.998999149 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.9979993772 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.9949991985 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 35°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.9899991567 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.08 |
| 07-27 14:44 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9979991532 | $1.03 |
| 07-27 14:43 | Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.03 |
| 07-27 14:42 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.43 |
| 07-27 14:41 | Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.31 |
| 07-27 14:40 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.36 |
| 07-27 14:39 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.85 |
| 07-27 14:39 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.60 |