PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x69c4733e3309fd90cf8b29d6d84302a9cd46c62d

Realised P&L
$3.09
Volume
$557.00
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$82.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.959$47.95+$22.95
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.9000.935$14.03+$0.53
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9740.975$5.85+$0.00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4640.696$4.87+$1.62
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0310.063$3.15+$1.60
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.5000.041$2.05$22.95
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.195$1.75+$0.31
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5360.304$1.52$1.16
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$1.40$0.04
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 20:25Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.88$12.32
07-04 18:12Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.974$5.84
06-30 15:26Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$4.55
06-26 22:32China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.963$6.74
06-25 19:06Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.14$1.40
06-21 10:55U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$8.10
06-07 21:34U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$5.40
06-03 19:54Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.44
05-21 10:43Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.85$6.80
05-21 10:43Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.44
05-21 10:42Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.95$9.50
05-21 10:42Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.464$3.25
05-21 10:42Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.536$2.68
05-21 10:42Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.0731176471$1.24
05-21 10:41China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.966$8.69