0x69A621A9f0eDE6717d1A30c693d8a3De09b5ac09-1782289965196
0x69a621a9f0ede6717d1a30c693d8a3de09b5ac09
- Realised P&L
- $41.09
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $15.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.510 | $3.79 | +$1.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.390 | $3.07 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.495 | $2.74 | +$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.365 | $2.74 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.375 | $1.88 | +$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.195 | $1.35 | −$1.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.12at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?
- +$5.80at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?
- +$4.65at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$4.49at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
- +$3.88at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.3876564581 | $2.91 |
| 08-05 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.91 |
| 08-04 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.07 |
| 08-04 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.95 |
| 08-04 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.62 |
| 08-04 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.38 |
| 08-04 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.52 |
| 08-04 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.42 |