0x696F3CC2306aE4a4cf37A707D88aAec55510D8b9-1769135448643
0x696f3cc2306ae4a4cf37a707d88aaec55510d8b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $366.5k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $154.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.018 | $154.45 | −$20.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$940.00at 0.060Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$727.29at 0.032Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
- +$300.00at 0.250US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$251.85at 0.035Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
- +$200.00at 0.160Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 03:51 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $399.96 |
| 05-28 21:58 | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.34 |
| 05-23 19:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $15.65 |
| 05-23 19:46 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | BUY | 0.036 | $18.00 |
| 05-23 19:43 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.137762282 | $501.86 |
| 05-23 19:43 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $300.00 |
| 05-23 05:38 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.017 | $21.19 |
| 05-23 02:17 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $36.71 |
| 05-23 02:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.20 |
| 05-17 20:39 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.42 |
| 05-16 02:24 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $300.00 |
| 05-14 04:17 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.41 |
| 05-14 04:13 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0099576799 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 04:11 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.022 | $10.08 |
| 05-14 04:08 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.007 | $20.00 |