RobertJohns1615
0x695690bc1d339790d654643538231a7e3612dd15
- Realised P&L
- $801.34
- Volume
- $132.5k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.770 | 0.850 | $680.85 | +$64.08 |
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.375 | $185.25 | +$81.51 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.721 | 0.414 | $137.86 | −$102.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.80at 0.370Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
- +$433.50at 0.500Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
- +$392.63at 0.290Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?
- +$208.32at 0.160Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
- +$203.31at 0.160Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:34 | Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10? | SELL | 0.66 | $399.30 |
| 04-27 08:32 | Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10? | SELL | 0.66 | $417.78 |
| 04-23 10:47 | Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10? | BUY | 0.58 | $718.04 |
| 03-31 04:01 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.08 |
| 03-31 04:01 | Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.51 | $31.62 |
| 03-30 17:25 | Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 03-30 15:34 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $51.87 |
| 03-30 11:57 | Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.55 | $40.70 |
| 03-30 11:28 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.38 |
| 03-30 05:53 | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $188.14 |
| 03-25 18:59 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-03-31? | SELL | 0.55 | $94.60 |
| 03-25 18:58 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-03-31? | SELL | 0.55 | $133.10 |
| 03-25 16:24 | Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $24.96 |
| 03-25 05:31 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.55 | $227.70 |
| 03-24 06:03 | Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.75 |