0x6936ea0Adf28Bf433A62c04dcf98Ade66Cca496D-1772422880994
0x6936ea0adf28bf433a62c04dcf98ade66cca496d
- Realised P&L
- $5.59
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $89.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.98at 0.500Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$5.96at 0.500Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
- +$5.95at 0.500Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$5.94at 0.500Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$5.94at 0.500Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 09:36 | OpenAI acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.923 | $11.08 |
| 07-03 09:26 | Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.978 | $11.74 |
| 07-03 09:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $16.92 |
| 06-19 01:57 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $8.32 |
| 06-19 01:40 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.942 | $16.48 |
| 03-30 02:59 | Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.14 |
| 03-30 02:57 | Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.20 |
| 03-30 02:56 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.12 |
| 03-30 02:46 | Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-30 02:45 | Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.12 |
| 03-30 02:42 | Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 03-30 02:36 | US strike on Colombia by March 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 03-30 02:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-08 10:34 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.69 |
| 03-07 13:50 | Will Solana reach $120 in March? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.37 |