1eon
0x68f9f971c8025f020e7f19c086e65ce85ad345d4
- Realised P&L
- $137.03
- Volume
- $890.25
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $110.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Regis die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.527 | 0.665 | $63.26 | +$13.16 |
| Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · No | 0.264 | 0.160 | $26.42 | −$17.25 |
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.750 | $18.75 | −$0.50 |
| Will Princess Cirilla die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.480 | $2.40 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.00at 0.760Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 04:49 | Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.25 |
| 07-15 04:48 | Will Regis die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.548685853 | $31.65 |
| 05-21 16:40 | Will Princess Cirilla die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 05-21 04:34 | Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 05-21 02:12 | Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.3479120879 | $3.80 |
| 05-18 18:50 | Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.76 | $228.00 |
| 05-18 18:49 | Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.76 | $228.00 |
| 05-18 04:59 | Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.58 |
| 05-18 04:59 | Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 05-18 03:48 | Will Regis die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 03:48 | Will Regis die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.49 | $13.45 |